{"id":599,"date":"2025-08-14T11:44:17","date_gmt":"2025-08-14T11:44:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ji-jobs.com\/vi\/blogs\/?p=599"},"modified":"2025-08-14T11:46:57","modified_gmt":"2025-08-14T11:46:57","slug":"nhat-ban-doi-mat-nguy-co-thieu-dien-tram-trong-vao-2040-2050-ngay-ca-khi-mo-rong-toi-da-dien-hat-nhan","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ji-jobs.com\/vi\/blogs\/nhat-ban-doi-mat-nguy-co-thieu-dien-tram-trong-vao-2040-2050-ngay-ca-khi-mo-rong-toi-da-dien-hat-nhan\/","title":{"rendered":"Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n \u0111\u1ed1i m\u1eb7t nguy c\u01a1 thi\u1ebfu \u0111i\u1ec7n tr\u1ea7m tr\u1ecdng v\u00e0o 2040\u20132050, ngay c\u1ea3 khi m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng t\u1ed1i \u0111a \u0111i\u1ec7n h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n"},"content":{"rendered":"

Ng\u00e0y 30\/7, \u201cNh\u00f3m Nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u v\u1ec1 K\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n Cung \u2013 C\u1ea7u \u0110i\u1ec7n T\u01b0\u01a1ng lai\u201d thu\u1ed9c T\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c \u0110i\u1ec1u ph\u1ed1i Li\u00ean v\u00f9ng c\u00e1c Nh\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec1u h\u00e0nh Truy\u1ec1n t\u1ea3i \u0111i\u1ec7n (OCCTO) \u0111\u00e3 c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 b\u00e1o c\u00e1o cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng, khi\u1ebfn gi\u1edbi n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng v\u00e0 d\u01b0 lu\u1eadn kh\u00f4ng kh\u1ecfi lo ng\u1ea1i.<\/p>\n

B\u00e1o c\u00e1o m\u00f4 ph\u1ecfng nhu c\u1ea7u v\u00e0 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng cung \u1ee9ng \u0111i\u1ec7n c\u1ee7a Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n trong c\u00e1c m\u1ed1c 2040 v\u00e0 2050. K\u1ebft qu\u1ea3: \u1edf ph\u1ea7n l\u1edbn k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n, ngu\u1ed3n cung \u0111\u1ec1u kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ee7 \u0111\u00e1p \u1ee9ng nhu c\u1ea7u \u2014 ngay c\u1ea3 khi to\u00e0n b\u1ed9 c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 m\u00e1y \u0111i\u1ec7n h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n \u0111\u1ee7 \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n v\u1eadn h\u00e0nh 60 n\u0103m \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c gia h\u1ea1n t\u1ed1i \u0111a, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi c\u00e1c d\u1ef1 \u00e1n thay th\u1ebf \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c tri\u1ec3n khai. M\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 chuy\u00ean gia c\u00f2n cho r\u1eb1ng, ngay c\u1ea3 khi m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng quy m\u00f4 \u0111i\u1ec7n h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n h\u01a1n n\u1eefa, Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n v\u1eabn s\u1ebd ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u1ed1i m\u1eb7t nguy c\u01a1 thi\u1ebfu \u0111i\u1ec7n.<\/p>\n

B\u1ea3n nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u n\u00e0y kh\u00f4ng tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp r\u00e0ng bu\u1ed9c K\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch N\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng C\u01a1 b\u1ea3n c\u1ee7a qu\u1ed1c gia, m\u00e0 ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu mang t\u00ednh tham kh\u1ea3o. Vi\u1ec7c m\u00f4 ph\u1ecfng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n b\u1edfi Vi\u1ec7n Nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u Trung \u01b0\u01a1ng v\u1ec1 C\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p \u0110i\u1ec7n l\u1ef1c, Vi\u1ec7n Nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u C\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 \u0110\u1ed5i m\u1edbi v\u00ec Tr\u00e1i \u0111\u1ea5t (RITE) v\u00e0 Deloitte Tohmatsu Consulting.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Hai m\u1ed1c th\u1eddi gian, nhi\u1ec1u k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n kh\u00e1c bi\u1ec7t<\/strong><\/h3>\n

Nhu c\u1ea7u \u0111i\u1ec7n n\u0103m 2019 l\u00e0 880 t\u1ef7 kWh. \u0110\u1ebfn n\u0103m 2040, nh\u00f3m nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u \u0111\u01b0a ra hai gi\u1ea3 \u0111\u1ecbnh: 900 t\u1ef7 kWh v\u00e0 1,1 ngh\u00ecn t\u1ef7 kWh. N\u0103m 2050 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ph\u00e2n t\u00edch v\u1edbi b\u1ed1n k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n: 950 t\u1ef7, 1,15 ngh\u00ecn t\u1ef7, 1,25 ngh\u00ecn t\u1ef7 v\u00e0 1,5 ngh\u00ecn t\u1ef7 kWh.<\/p>\n

V\u1ec1 ngu\u1ed3n cung, ba m\u1ee9c gi\u1ea3 \u0111\u1ecbnh \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 \u0111\u00f3ng g\u00f3p c\u1ee7a \u0111i\u1ec7n h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n, n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng t\u00e1i t\u1ea1o v\u00e0 h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng l\u01b0u tr\u1eef pin: cao, trung b\u00ecnh v\u00e0 th\u1ea5p. \u0110\u1ed1i v\u1edbi \u0111i\u1ec7n nhi\u1ec7t, c\u00e1c k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n bao g\u1ed3m c\u1ea3 c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 kh\u1eed carbon (l\u01b0u tr\u1eef hydro, thu h\u1ed3i CO\u2082) l\u1eabn y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 l\u00e3o h\u00f3a v\u00e0 thay th\u1ebf thi\u1ebft b\u1ecb.<\/p>\n

\u0110i\u1ec3m ngh\u1ebdn l\u1edbn: ch\u1ec9 c\u00e2n b\u1eb1ng khi nhu c\u1ea7u th\u1ea5p<\/strong><\/h3>\n

V\u1edbi k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n nhu c\u1ea7u n\u0103m 2040 l\u00e0 900 t\u1ef7 kWh, cung \u0111i\u1ec7n ch\u1ec9 v\u01b0\u1ee3t c\u1ea7u n\u1ebfu n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng nhi\u1ec7t gi\u1eef nguy\u00ean c\u00f4ng su\u1ea5t so v\u1edbi n\u0103m 2019, \u0111i\u1ec7n h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n chi\u1ebfm 20% t\u1ed5ng s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng v\u00e0 n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng t\u00e1i t\u1ea1o t\u0103ng 1,7 l\u1ea7n so v\u1edbi hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i.<\/p>\n

\u0110\u1ebfn 2050, khi nhu c\u1ea7u \u1edf m\u1ee9c 950 t\u1ef7 kWh, ngu\u1ed3n cung ch\u1ec9 \u0111\u00e1p \u1ee9ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c trong hai tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p: n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng t\u00e1i t\u1ea1o t\u0103ng g\u1ea5p \u0111\u00f4i, \u0111i\u1ec7n h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n gi\u1ea3m d\u1ea7n nh\u01b0ng v\u1eabn duy tr\u00ec c\u00f4ng su\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i, v\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec7n nhi\u1ec7t gi\u1eef nguy\u00ean quy m\u00f4. N\u1ebfu nhu c\u1ea7u v\u01b0\u1ee3t m\u1ee9c n\u00e0y \u2014 ch\u1eb3ng h\u1ea1n 1,25 ngh\u00ecn t\u1ef7 kWh \u2014 t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng thi\u1ebfu \u0111i\u1ec7n s\u1ebd x\u1ea3y ra ngay c\u1ea3 khi n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng t\u00e1i t\u1ea1o t\u0103ng g\u1ea5p ba v\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec7n h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n c\u00f9ng \u0111i\u1ec7n nhi\u1ec7t v\u1eabn duy tr\u00ec \u1edf m\u1ee9c n\u0103m 2019.<\/p>\n

Tranh c\u00e3i v\u1ec1 \u01b0\u1edbc l\u01b0\u1ee3ng nhu c\u1ea7u<\/strong><\/h3>\n

Theo OCCTO, nguy\u00ean nh\u00e2n khi\u1ebfn nhu c\u1ea7u \u0111i\u1ec7n t\u0103ng ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu \u0111\u1ebfn t\u1eeb l\u00e0n s\u00f3ng chuy\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ed5i s\u1ed1 (DX) v\u00e0 s\u1ef1 b\u00f9ng n\u1ed5 c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c trung t\u00e2m d\u1eef li\u1ec7u. Tuy nhi\u00ean, nhi\u1ec1u \u00fd ki\u1ebfn ph\u1ea3n bi\u1ec7n. M\u1ed9t nh\u00e0 b\u00e1o chuy\u00ean ng\u00e0nh n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng nh\u1eadn x\u00e9t: \u201cLi\u1ec7u Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n c\u00f3 th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 c\u1ea7n nhi\u1ec1u trung t\u00e2m d\u1eef li\u1ec7u \u0111\u1ebfn v\u1eady? Hi\u1ec7u su\u1ea5t ti\u1ebft ki\u1ec7m n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng c\u1ee7a ch\u1ea5t b\u00e1n d\u1eabn v\u00e0 thi\u1ebft b\u1ecb \u0111ang c\u1ea3i thi\u1ec7n, d\u00e2n s\u1ed1 th\u00ec gi\u1ea3m m\u1ea1nh. Kh\u00f4ng ch\u1eafc nhu c\u1ea7u s\u1ebd t\u0103ng v\u1ecdt nh\u01b0 d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n

D\u00f9 v\u1eady, gi\u1edbi chuy\u00ean m\u00f4n c\u0169ng \u0111\u1ed3ng thu\u1eadn r\u1eb1ng kh\u00e1c v\u1edbi tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00e2y, vi\u1ec7c d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o nhu c\u1ea7u \u0111i\u1ec7n d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n \u0111ang tr\u1edf n\u00ean kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n h\u01a1n bao gi\u1edd h\u1ebft. \u0110i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3 \u0111\u1ed3ng ngh\u0129a, b\u00e0i to\u00e1n b\u1ea3o \u0111\u1ea3m ngu\u1ed3n cung \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh cho Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n trong nh\u1eefng th\u1eadp k\u1ef7 t\u1edbi s\u1ebd l\u00e0 th\u00e1ch th\u1ee9c l\u1edbn, kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 v\u1ec1 c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 m\u00e0 c\u00f2n c\u1ea3 v\u1ec1 chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng qu\u1ed1c gia.<\/p>\n

Ngu\u1ed3n: YAHOO! JAPAN \u30cb\u30e5\u30fc\u30b9 (https:\/\/news.yahoo.co.jp\/articles\/246bcd9deea1dd9fde29b5a9f9eec177a9f100e)<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Ng\u00e0y 30\/7, \u201cNh\u00f3m Nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u v\u1ec1 K\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n Cung \u2013 C\u1ea7u \u0110i\u1ec7n T\u01b0\u01a1ng lai\u201d thu\u1ed9c T\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c \u0110i\u1ec1u ph\u1ed1i Li\u00ean v\u00f9ng c\u00e1c Nh\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec1u h\u00e0nh Truy\u1ec1n t\u1ea3i \u0111i\u1ec7n (OCCTO) \u0111\u00e3 c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 b\u00e1o c\u00e1o cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng, khi\u1ebfn gi\u1edbi n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng v\u00e0 d\u01b0 lu\u1eadn kh\u00f4ng kh\u1ecfi lo ng\u1ea1i. B\u00e1o c\u00e1o m\u00f4 ph\u1ecfng nhu c\u1ea7u v\u00e0 kh\u1ea3 … <\/p>\n

\u0110\u1ecdc ti\u1ebfp “Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n \u0111\u1ed1i m\u1eb7t nguy c\u01a1 thi\u1ebfu \u0111i\u1ec7n tr\u1ea7m tr\u1ecdng v\u00e0o 2040\u20132050, ngay c\u1ea3 khi m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng t\u1ed1i \u0111a \u0111i\u1ec7n h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n”<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":600,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-599","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tin-viec-lam-tai-nhat"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ji-jobs.com\/vi\/blogs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/599","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ji-jobs.com\/vi\/blogs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ji-jobs.com\/vi\/blogs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ji-jobs.com\/vi\/blogs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ji-jobs.com\/vi\/blogs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=599"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/ji-jobs.com\/vi\/blogs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/599\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":602,"href":"https:\/\/ji-jobs.com\/vi\/blogs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/599\/revisions\/602"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ji-jobs.com\/vi\/blogs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/600"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ji-jobs.com\/vi\/blogs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=599"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ji-jobs.com\/vi\/blogs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=599"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ji-jobs.com\/vi\/blogs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=599"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}